防灾与环境

社会-技术系统视角下地铁施工事故致因网络分析

  • 宁雪 ,
  • 马永驰 ,
  • 陈坤
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  • 山东大学 政治学与公共管理学院,山东 青岛 266237
宁雪(1996—),女,辽宁大连人,博士生,主要从事应急管理与公共安全、基础设施管理与政策方面的研究。E-mail:1026129224@qq.com
马永驰(1980—),男,湖北赤壁人,博士,教授,博士生导师,主要从事应急管理与公共安全、基础设施管理与政策等方面的研究。E-mail:mayongchi@sdu.edu.cn

收稿日期: 2025-11-15

  网络出版日期: 2026-06-23

基金资助

国家自然科学基金面上项目(71571028);教育部人文社科规划基金项目(21YJA630070);山东省自然科学基金面上项目(ZR2022MG006)

Network Analysis of Subway Construction Accidents Based on Socio-technical System

  • Ning Xue ,
  • Ma Yongchi ,
  • Chen Kun
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  • School of Political Science and Public Administration, Shandong University, Qingdao, Shandong 266237, P. R. China

Received date: 2025-11-15

  Online published: 2026-06-23

摘要

为探究导致地铁施工事故的多种因素间的相互关系,预防地铁施工事故的发生,对中国2001~2022年间18起较大及以上地铁施工事故展开多案例比较分析,提炼地铁施工事故中个体、组织、行为、设备、环境等要素,并在此基础上构建地铁施工事故致因网络。运用复杂网络建模分析工具Network X对网络节点度、最短路径、中介中心度等网络指标进行测量,结合测量结果对较大事故、重大事故、特大事故致因网络中关键节点及致因链路展开对比分析。结果表明:较大事故主要由管理因素与设备因素叠加、管理因素与违章作业行为因素叠加引起;重大事故主要由违章作业行为与不良地质条件因素叠加引起,其中不良地质条件因素是事故等级上升的关键因素;特大事故主要由组织管理因素与违章作业行为叠加导致,其中施工方案编制欠缺是事故进一步升级的关键因素。

本文引用格式

宁雪 , 马永驰 , 陈坤 . 社会-技术系统视角下地铁施工事故致因网络分析[J]. 地下空间与工程学报, 2026 , 22(3) : 1103 -1114 . DOI: 10.20174/j.JUSE.2026.03.35

Abstract

In order to explore the causes of subway construction accidents and prevent their occurrence, an analysis was conducted on 18 serious and above subway construction accidents in China from 2001 to 2022. Elements such as individuals, organizations, behaviors, equipment, and environment were extracted from subway construction accidents, and a network of subway construction accident causes was constructed based on this. The complex Network modeling and analysis tool Network X is used to measure network indicators such as node degree, shortest path, and intermediary centrality, combining the measurement results to conduct comparative analysis on key nodes and causal links in networks caused by serious accidents, major accidents, and catastrophic accidents. The results indicate that serious accidents are mainly caused by the superposition of management factors and equipment factors, as well as the superposition of management factors and illegal operation behavior factors. Major accidents are mainly caused by the combination of illegal operations and unfavorable geological conditions. Unfavorable geological conditions are the key factors for improving the level of accidents. Catastrophic accidents are mainly caused by the combination of organizational management factors and illegal operations, among which the lack of preparation of construction plans is the key factor for further escalation of accidents.

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